Weight
Transfer
The national margin is the balance point of every group's vote. In two years it moved 15 points. Here is who moved it.
Preliminary, 4–6 Nov 2026. Every figure carries a receipt: its source and a content hash. Methodology
Five stories
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What the news covered
90 days of US coverage, collected by BrantopicHover or tap a cover to open its full chart. The analysis is in The Receipt.
Brantopic flagged these spikes the day they happened. Get the same alert when coverage of your brand jumps past its normal range.
A referendum on the president's economy that every group joined, won by who showed up and who crossed over.
We took twelve things outlets reported about the election and checked each against the facts behind our charts. A claim stands only if a fact supports it with confidence above 0.6.
We checked 12 claims about the midterms. Check 5 about your brand.
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Carried into the Senate
Each walker is 100,000 votes
James Talarico def. Ken Paxton · D+12.1

Roy Cooper · D+19.6

Sherrod Brown · D+4.9

Annie Andrews · D+4.5

Josh Turek · D+4.1

Adam Hamilton · D+5.0

Troy Jackson def. Susan Collins · D+6.4
Margins and votes from Wikipedia's 2026 race pages, 6 Nov; preliminary until certification. Portraits posterised in code from Wikimedia Commons photos: Talarico by Antonioaesparza and Cooper by NetwonsBucket (both CC BY-SA 4.0; these posters are shared under the same licence); Brown, U.S. Senate Photographic Services (public domain); Andrews, York County Democratic Party (CC BY 4.0); Turek, Iowa General Assembly (free use); Hamilton by Leoniceno and Jackson by ArenLeBrun (CC0).
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Receipts on every number
Each figure is stored with its source, the query that produced it and a content hash, so anyone can recompute it. Read the methodology.
Our sources
Exit polls (NBC News/SSRS, AP), Decision Desk HQ, The Downballot, CBS News, AdImpact, and GDELT collected through Brantopic.
Neutral by method
Blue and red mark the parties' data, nothing else. Claims from every side go through the same Brand Truth check.
The Receipt, a weekly data brief from politic.design. One chart, one sourced finding, every Friday.